Early Signs Point to a GOP Wave in 2010

The evidence continues to mount that 2010 will be a bad year for Democrats. A new congressional ballot survey done for the RNC finds 36% would vote for the Republican candidate for Congress, 36% for the Democratic candidate and 28% are undecided who they would choose. A similar poll in June found Democrats leading 38% to 33%.

The real shocker comes courtesy of Larry Sabato who says "In a preliminary projection, the Crystal Ball predicts the Republican Party will pick up between 20 and 30 seats in that election, a sizeable gain, but insufficient to retake the majority. The Crystal Ball reached this conclusion after intense analysis of all 435 U.S. House districts, rating each race on a scale ranging from Safe Democratic to Safe Republican."

Sabato joins Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg in predicting big gains for the GOP in 2010. Couple that with this tidbit from Gallup - "In August, an average of 45% of Americans identified as Democrats or leaned to the Democratic Party, while 40% identified as Republicans or leaned to the Republican Party. This 5-point advantage represents a decided narrowing of the gap between the parties from the 17-point Democratic advantage in January" - and Democrats should be pretty worried about next November.