The evidence continues to mount that 2010 will be a bad year for Democrats. A new congressional ballot survey done for the RNC finds 36% would vote for the Republican candidate for Congress, 36% for the Democratic candidate and 28% are undecided who they would choose. A similar poll in June found Democrats leading 38% to 33%.
The real shocker comes courtesy of Larry Sabato who says "In a preliminary projection, the Crystal Ball predicts the Republican Party will pick up between 20 and 30 seats in that election, a sizeable gain, but insufficient to retake the majority. The Crystal Ball reached this conclusion after intense analysis of all 435 U.S. House districts, rating each race on a scale ranging from Safe Democratic to Safe Republican."
Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg in predicting big gains for the GOP in 2010. Couple that with this tidbit from Gallup - "In August, an average of 45% of Americans identified as Democrats or leaned to the Democratic Party, while 40% identified as Republicans or leaned to the Republican Party. This 5-point advantage represents a decided narrowing of the gap between the parties from the 17-point Democratic advantage in January" - and Democrats should be pretty worried about next November.